This is from the Antarctic Sun, a publication of the United States Antarctic Program and the National Science Foundation…
Highs and lows
South Pole experiences warmest year on record in 2009
By Peter Rejcek, Antarctic Sun Editor
Posted April 30, 2010
The average temperature at the South Pole was a bone-chilling minus 47.9 degrees Celsius (minus 54.2 Fahrenheit) in 2009. It was also the warmest year on record since 1957, when temperature records began at South Pole.
Last year beat out the previous record in 2002 by one-tenth of a degree centigrade, according to Tim Markle, senior meteorologist at the South Pole Station…
Why do the Gorebots make this so easy?
Amundsen-Scot Station (90.0S, 0.0E AKA The South Pole)…
All you have to do, is to look up the data… GISS Surface Temperature Analysis, Station List Search: (90.0 S,0.0 E)… More often than not, these people are massaging the data to get the result they want; or just making things up.
The average annual temperature at the South Pole was warmer in 2002 than it was in 2009…
2002: -47.66 C -53.79 F
2009: -47.93 C -54.274 F
The coldest annual average annual temperature at the South Pole was recorded in 1983 (-50.84 F, -59.51 F).
The record only goes back to 1957. Does anyone know how often record highs and record lows should be broken in such a short time series?
At a record length of 53 years, there is a 2% chance of setting a new record high in the 53rd year…
The probability, pn(1), that the nth observation of a series xm= x1, x2, … xn has a higher value than the previous observations [pn(1) = Pr(xn > xi |i < n)] can be expressed as:
pn(1)= 1/n (1)
provided the values in series are iid random variables.
The cumulative probability says that 4 to 5 record highs should have been set between 1957 and 2009.
Only four record highs were actually set during that period…
1957 -48.92 C (1 record statistically expected)
1958 -48.35 C (2 records statistically expected)
1988 -46.90 C (4 records statistically expected)
2002 -47.66 C (4 records statistically expected)
Here’s another kicker… Not only is the warmest year of record false, but the linear trend-line is negative…
And the Gorebots accuse us of cherry-picking!!!
Fox News: 2002/-54 F 2009/-54.2 F
Live Science: 2002/-54.4 F 2009/-54.2 F
Antarctic Sun: 2002/-54.4 F 2009/-54.2 F
(The data above have been corrected pursuant to the comment by Mr. Rejcek.)
All of which are wrong according to the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN).
The Actual Data: 2002/-53.8 F 2009/-54.3 F
2009 was 0.1 F cooler than all three articles indicate and 2002 was 0.2 to 0.6 F warmer than the three articles indicate.
Fox News actually came closest to the real numbers and actually showed 2002 being warmer than 2009; yet still reported the original article’s erroneous claim.
Doesn’t anyone ever check their work before publishing?
R. E. Benestad. How often can we expect a record event? CLIMATE RESEARCH. Vol. 25: 3–13, 2003
I have been in contact with Mr. Rejcek via his comments in this thread and email. He stands by the assertion that the data from the meteorologists at the station support the claim that 2009 was the warmest year on record at the South Pole.
To ensure that the GHCN data on the NASA-GISS website were not flawed, I downloaded the daily temperature data for the Amundsen-Scott station directly from the NCDC. Here’s a comparison of the monthly averages for 2002 and 2009 that I calculated from those data…
These data also show 2002 to have been warmer than 2009 at the South Pole.